Fair enough, everyone makes assumptions.Speaking of assumptions. Who out there's saying Modern Masters 2 is "obviously cool and widely appreciated"? The most I've ever heard are that it's "okay", "fine", and "has some redeeming qualities". It's also not very deep when it comes to drafting, and has a lot less replay value than you'd expect for a set that costs $30 a pop to try. Are there actually folks out there who are raving about its supposed virtues?
If you want to talk about assumptions, here's another one. You're making the assumption that opened product is worth the same as sealed product, based on some dollar amounts from vendor price lists. What your assumption overlooks is the fact that bulk rares are essentially non-liquid - good luck getting anyone to give you a quarter for that Inexorable Tide. What's more, EV is really only applicable when you open large numbers of boxes; otherwise, individual pack EV and even box EV is highly variable, and more akin to playing the lottery. Sure, you might open that foil Tarmogoyf to make back your money and then some; but chances are, that outcome's not in the cards for you. So, who are these casual players cracking reams and reams of Modern Masters 2 product, leaving draft value that's just "gravy" on the table?
If your argument is simply that the set increases supply for dealers opening case after case, thereby lowering the barrier to entry into Modern, you'll get no argument from me. But let's not go overboard and deliver praise where it isn't due. Aside from meeting that goal - a very modest one, by all standards - the set was merely adequate at best, and a major disappointment at worst, especially after how well the first Modern Masters played.
Me, and everyone else that I've interacted with has liked it quite a bit. And I tend to over review things anyway, cuz it keeps me happier, ya know?
My assumption is only from MTGGoldfish, where he Ebays them back to arbitrary people, at a loss from expected price. Did you read the article? He was working on the EV of a box to a person if they were to try to resell it themselves (multipliers of like 0.2, 0.4, and stuff like that).
That was actually exactly my argument. All of today seems to have been erryone bashing about the Bulk sentence. Also me trying to be positive about things, and expose that the sets isn't all as bad as it can be made out to be. And if it seems like I'm going overboard, I'm dealing with the set getting called "Awful", they should never do things this way, etc.
I'm sorry if this is like why is he still beating on this topic all day, I'll be going now, don't you worry. I'm just trying to put some thought into these sorts of sets. All starting from wanting to see how much prices actually dropped.